And in an NY1/Ipsos poll released last week, Yang was in second place with 16% of first-choice votes, after Adams’ 22% while 16% were undecided.īut in the three latest polls in the race released on Monday, Yang has since fallen further behind. In the third Pulse of the Primary poll released May 26, which had Adams in first place with 13%, Yang and Garcia tied for second place with 8% while 50% of voters were undecided (when “leaners” were taken into account it was Adams 18%, Yang 13%, and Garcia 11%). In the poll, which was commissioned by City Council Speaker Corey Johnson's comptroller campaign, Adams received 21% of the vote and Yang was at 18%. On May 5, Politico New York reported that Adams was in first place in a poll by GQR, a Washington D.C.-based firm, overtaking Yang for the first time. Signs started to shift in late April, accelerating through May. Some talked about his mayoralty as a near inevitability, though while Yang, Coffey, and others with the campaign did try to play up that narrative, they also at times cautioned against any premature presumptions. Even while being attacked left and right, he was upbeat and energetic, refusing to hit back at critics while his campaign trumpeted the fact that he was running on an exclusively positive message. When New Yorkers see Andrew on the streets or in the press, they know that hope is on the way."įor months Yang appeared to be cruising, credited for tapping into the city’s “zeitgeist” around reopening and recovery, a hopeful future. “When you put those voters together, our campaign starts in a great place, while the resonance of Andrew's message with voters beyond traditional ideological or demographic breakdowns only strengthens our standing. “Andrew Yang continues to poll well across all boroughs and demographics, but our unique base of Asian, Orthodox Jewish, and Latino voters, along with Staten Island Democrats, is coming into focus as the race enters the last six weeks,” Chris Coffey, a Yang co-campaign manager said in a statement at the time. The Yang campaign, in early May, released an internal poll showing him in the lead with 21% of the vote and Stringer in second place with 15%. In that poll, he came in first place with 28%, while Adams was second with 17% and Stringer was third with 13% - the undecideds were 19%.įor months, Yang maintained his position near the top. But, for much of the race, a significant number of voters have remained undecided even when Yang has held the lead.
The next closest was Stringer, who has been in city or state government for decades, with 66% name recognition, followed by Adams, previously a state senator and NYPD captain, at 60%. In the first “Pulse of the Primary” poll by Fontas Advisors and Core Decision Analytics, released February 10, a massive 84% of likely Democratic primary voters said they had heard of Yang. It was clear from early polls that Yang was well known by New York City voters. He lacked any experience in government and had never even voted in a mayoral election before, but was nonetheless out-running former de Blasio administration officials Maya Wiley and Kathryn Garcia, and former Bloomberg and Obama cabinet member Shaun Donovan. He had ample notoriety built from his unlikely and over-performing presidential run, a deep donor base, and a knack for earned media that helped him eclipse the more conventional candidates in the race including sitting elected officials like Brooklyn Borough President Eric Adams and Comptroller Scott Stringer. Yang’s late entry into the race did not seem to hinder his campaign as he proceeded to quickly raise millions of dollars from thousands of New Yorkers and tapping into his national network, even setting a record for most individual contributions to a mayoral campaign. Several polls released Monday, three days into early voting and just over a week before primary day, show Yang slipping toward the middle of the pack and raised questions about whether he was more of a flash in the pan built on high name recognition and likeability from his presidential bid but unable to make a convincing case to enough New Yorkers that he should lead city government.
But the honeymoon period for his campaign ended, with personal and policy gaffes and experience gaps possibly catching up with him as more voters tuned into the race. Andrew Yang (photo: Yang, the entrepreneur and former Democratic presidential candidate, seemed to be dominating this year’s mayoral race, with early poll numbers showing him well ahead of the other candidates running in this month’s primary.
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